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WHAT'S THE LATEST? 

08/11/2026 8:00 AM EST - Signs of progress toward a US-Iran agreement are easing some of the risk that has supported oil markets throughout the conflict. Pakistan signaled that the two sides are close to a deal that could restore shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, sending WTI slightly lower this morning. However, negotiations remain complicated by competing demands for compensation, with President Trump seeking payments for those killed or wounded in Iranian attacks while Tehran wants reparations for damage to its infrastructure. The possibility of a deal is also lifting broader market sentiment.

Even with diplomacy advancing, disruptions across global oil markets continue. China is looking to buy more Iranian crude as regional inventories tighten, while South Korean refiners are seeking alternative supplies from the Americas and Africa as the war drags on. Downstream infrastructure is also under pressure: Saudi Arabia delayed the restart of its Jazan refinery until late August following Houthi attacks, while Libya is considering shutting its Zawiya refinery after a drone strike damaged a fuel-storage tank. These disruptions could keep supply concerns elevated even if Strait traffic improves.


CHECK OUT THE LATEST ANALYSIS:

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Oil Prices Shift Lower as Strait of Hormuz Flows Recover 

Crude prices moved lower this week as improving oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz eased supply concerns and reduced the market’s focus on geopolitical risk. WTI traded down roughly $7/bbl over the course of the week, while Brent also posted weekly losses as crude exports from the Persian Gulf steadily recovered

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What's That: Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)

When global oil supplies are at risk, the U.S. has a backup plan: the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). The SPR is the country’s emergency stockpile of crude oil, built to help cushion the impact of major supply disruptions and give policymakers another tool during energy crises. 

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What’s That: Kharg Island

Most people have never heard of Kharg Island, but the small Iranian island sits at the center of one of the world’s most critical oil export systems. As Iran’s main crude export hub, Kharg handles the vast majority of the country’s oil shipments, making it a key focal point in the ongoing Iran war and a growing concern for global energy markets.

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Did You Miss the Boat on Lower Fuel Prices? 

Prices are up across the country - wrecking your fuel budget. Is it too late to lock in at a lower price? Turns out, you can use fixed price to lock in a price much lower than current levels, helping you spread your risk out into the future and protecting your bottom line. 

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Urea Volatility Pushes DEF Prices Higher as Global Supply Tightens

Although fuel prices have been the focus of headlines, DEF prices are just as volatile. The shift is being driven by rapid changes in the global urea market, where disruptions tied to Middle East tensions are tightening supply and accelerating cost increases.

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Rising Lubricant Prices: What’s Behind the Shift?

The conflict with Iran has brought tremendous pressure across the oil industry. From nat gas and crude oil to gasoline, diesel, and lubricants, the reduction of traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has had significant price impacts for fleets.  

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Higher Fuel Prices, Higher Risk: Why Fuel Theft Is on the Rise 

With fuel prices returning to near record levels, the threat of loss has been mounting as well. The recent escalation between the U.S. and Iran, and the resulting 40%+ increase in fuel prices, creates a situation that isn’t just problematic for budgets, but also for fuel theft. 

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What’s That: Floating Storage

What happens when the world keeps producing oil, but tankers can no longer deliver it? Under normal conditions, oil flows through a seamless chain of operations in which it is pumped, shipped, and refined. But when key transit routes tighten or shut down, this system breaks down.

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What's That: Bab el-Mandeb Strait

The Bab el-Mandeb is closely linked to the Strait of Hormuz, as both form a continuous maritime corridor for global energy trade. Under normal conditions, Hormuz handles about 20 million barrels of oil per day, while the Bab el-Mandeb carries around roughly 12% of global oil shipments.

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IMPACT ON FUEL

  • Shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz - which transits 20%

  • Since March 1, average daily transits have dropped to fewer than 7 vessels per day, and fewer than 6 per day in May.

  • Recent LNG movement has improved slightly but remains limited. As of June 9, nine loaded Qatari LNG vessels had exited the Strait since the conflict began.

  • Stranded volumes are beginning to decline, but the market is still far from normal. Reuters reported that oil volumes previously stuck in the Gulf fell from 184 million barrels in March to 148 million barrels in early June.

  • Because tanker traffic remains well below normal, supply availability remains uncertain and buyers may continue to face longer lead times, tighter spot supply, and elevated price pressure. 

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IMPACT ON DEF

Urea flows through the Persian Gulf have been disrupted, as has LNG, which is a major part of the supply chain for converting nitrogen into Urea. The impact on US DEF markets is mounting. 

  • About 25–30% of global urea exports come from the Arab Gulf.

  • Urea prices remain volatile. NOLA urea prices increased sharply from the mid-$400s in late February to nearly $700 by late March, up more than 46%.

  • Prices eased in May but remain under pressure. U.S. Gulf urea futures declined from about $631 per ton on May 1 to about $559 per ton by May 29, after reaching a mid-April high.

  • North American production is strong but not enough to fully offset lost imports. Domestic urea production remains high, but it cannot completely replace disrupted import volumes, especially during peak demand periods.

GET AHEAD OF DISRUPTIONS


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FIXED PRICE

With uncertainty ahead, it's important to have a strategy. With a fixed price solution, you can bring the future's lower prices forward to today, while maintaining flexibility if the market falls. Find out how your business can immediately lower its prices and spread out risk. 

 

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DEF SUPPLY

Ensure you have the DEF you need to keep your fleet running. The Middle East is a leading producer of Urea, the main ingredient in DEF, causing prices to rise. Make sure you've locked in your DEF supply and storage to avoid supply tightness. 

 

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FUEL CONSULTATION

With prices rising, fleets are considering all kinds of methods to reduce costs - from investing in better storage to seeking efficiency gains. Speak with a fuel expert to do a comprehensive review of your fuel spend  and see if there are ways you could be saving today.